Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Apr 2024

Tecnico Universitario
2-1 HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.9 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
02.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
04.10.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.05.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
23.11.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
30.05.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.18 xG 0.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario squeezed past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tecnico Universitario as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 40%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.67 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 41%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cuenca 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
18 Apr 2024
00:30 Cumbaya vs Libertad Analysis →
22:00 Imbabura vs Uni. Catolica Analysis →