Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguilas Doradas v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
5-3
HT 1-2
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
Aguilas Doradas 4-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas swept aside Alianza Petrolera 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 51% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 49%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.86 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Aguilas Doradas 4-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 48%, draw 28%, Alianza Petrolera 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.