Shrewsbury 0-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.14
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
22%
5.35
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.98/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.20
-23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.7 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
17.02.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
28.10.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
30.04.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
08.12.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.11.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.40 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
265 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic squeezed past Shrewsbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 49% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.40 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 2.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Wigan Athletic?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 29%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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