Charlton Athletic vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlton Athletic v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
Charlton Athletic vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
İN1
0-4
HT 0-2
Charlton Athletic
İN1
Charlton Athletic 2-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Charlton Athletic squeezed past Northampton Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Charlton Athletic had 51% of the ball to Northampton Town's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Charlton Athletic and 0.83 for Northampton Town.
What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Northampton Town?
Charlton Athletic 2-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Northampton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 49%, draw 25%, Northampton Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.