Northampton Town 0-5 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.71
Over
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No Pick
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.69
2-3
37%
1.71
4-5
18%
3.9
6+
11%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.02
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
9%
7.55
X/2
15%
4.26
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.71
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.96/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.79
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
181 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 72%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
19.2 Crosses 23.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.79 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 251
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
23.01.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
09.03.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
24.10.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
30.03.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
19.08.2017 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-5
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.23 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
250 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Northampton Town 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Northampton Town had 49% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 51%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.23 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 2.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Northampton Town 0-5 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 32%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 41%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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