Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No Pick
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.75
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
18%
3.81
6+
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
13%
6.09
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
16%
4.48
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.09/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
+11% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
292 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.6 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
21.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
17.03.2015 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
20.12.2014 Barnsley Barnsley 2-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
0-4
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.75 xG 2.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
222 Passes 135
64% Pass Accuracy 53%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient swept aside Barnsley 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Barnsley had 58% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 42%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.75 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Barnsley and 0.50 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Leyton Orient?

Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 41%, draw 24%, Leyton Orient 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Barnsley), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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