Lincoln City 2-0 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over Pick
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.39
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.19
6+
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
9%
23.4
2/2
8%
7.82
2/X
7%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.55/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.1 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Reading
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 1.11
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
170 Passes 426
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
16.12.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Reading Reading İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
2-0
AWAY Reading
2.00 xG 0.19
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
389 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City saw off Reading 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lincoln City had 64% of the ball to Reading's 36%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.00 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lincoln City and 1.00 for Reading.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Reading?

Lincoln City 2-0 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 52%, draw 24%, Reading 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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