Peterborough United 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

Peterborough United
1-1 HT 1-0
Stockport County
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No Pick
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
3.26
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.36
6+
11%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.26 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.42
1/2
8%
24.65
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
8%
7.38
X/2
19%
4.83
X/X
8%
4.82
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.81
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.67
+38% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
11.2 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Peterborough United vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stockport County
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.11.2010 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
06.11.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
18.04.2009 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
06.12.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 1-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
12.04.2008 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Peterborough United 1-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
0.66 xG 0.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 308
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Stockport County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 46% of the ball to Stockport County's 54%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.66 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 1.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Stockport County?

Peterborough United 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 30%, draw 24%, Stockport County 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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