Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.71
Over
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.74
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.93
6+
8%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.23
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
8%
5.94
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.7
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.07/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.32
-6% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.0 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Blackpool
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.94 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
236 Passes 262
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
03.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
14.10.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
14.03.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
10.12.2016 Stevenage Stevenage 0-2 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-3
AWAY Blackpool
0.41 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
299 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool beat Stevenage 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Blackpool made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 52% of the ball to Blackpool's 48%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.41 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Stevenage and 1.20 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Blackpool?

Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 35%, draw 29%, Blackpool 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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