AFC Telford United 7-1 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-23.9pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.4pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.92/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.28
-22% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lowestoft Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
07.09.2024 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 1-2 HT 0-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
19.12.2015 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
7-1
AWAY Lowestoft Town
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United ran out comfortable winners over Lowestoft Town 7-1. Half-time: 5-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 71% of the ball to Lowestoft Town's 29%, shots finished 24-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.50 for Lowestoft Town.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Lowestoft Town?

AFC Telford United 7-1 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 58%, draw 23%, Lowestoft Town 19%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5
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