Mickleover Sports 1-0 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.58/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.69
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +109%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Leek Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 0-1 Mickleover Sports İNFAT
20.08.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
04.09.2021 Leek Town Leek Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Mickleover Sports FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mickleover Sports
1-0
AWAY Leek Town
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mickleover Sports squeezed past Leek Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Mickleover Sports made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mickleover Sports had 35% of the ball to Leek Town's 65%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mickleover Sports had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mickleover Sports and 0.33 for Leek Town.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Leek Town?

Mickleover Sports 1-0 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 32%, draw 30%, Leek Town 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leek Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leek Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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