Viggbyholms IK 1-0 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No Pick
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viggbyholms IK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.86/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.80
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viggbyholms IK
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Jarfalla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 1
19.10.2024 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK 2-0 HT 1-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
16.06.2024 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-0 HT 1-0 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK İSÇ4
06.08.2023 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK 2-3 HT 0-2 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 5-0 HT 2-0 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Viggbyholms IK vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viggbyholms IK squeezed past Jarfalla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viggbyholms IK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jarfalla led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viggbyholms IK and 2.50 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Viggbyholms IK vs Jarfalla?

Viggbyholms IK 1-0 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viggbyholms IK vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viggbyholms IK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viggbyholms IK 43%, draw 32%, Jarfalla 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viggbyholms IK), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viggbyholms IK) ✓ BTTS No
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