CD Castellon vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS2
2-1
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
CD Castellon 4-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon cruised past Almeria 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Castellon found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CD Castellon had 51% of the ball to Almeria's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.29 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Castellon and 1.67 for Almeria.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Almeria?
CD Castellon 4-1 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 37%, draw 27%, Almeria 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.