Sporting Gijon 3-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
17%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.07
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.2 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
07.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.08.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-0 HT 3-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
12.03.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-4 HT 1-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
13.08.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.02.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
3-1
AWAY Mirandes
1.66 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon got the better of Mirandes 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sporting Gijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 47% of the ball to Mirandes's 53%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.66 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.17 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Mirandes?

Sporting Gijon 3-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 39%, draw 28%, Mirandes 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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