Mirandes 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Dec 2024

Mirandes
1-1 HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.89
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.65
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.85
X/1
18%
4.74
X/2
8%
6.3
X/X
11%
3.09
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.46
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirandes v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.29/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.7 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.06 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.08.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-0 HT 3-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
12.03.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-4 HT 1-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
13.08.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.02.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.08.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2

Mirandes 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
2.04 xG 1.51
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
158 Passes 462
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes and Sporting Gijon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mirandes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Mirandes had 31% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 69%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 2.04 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirandes and 2.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Mirandes 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 41%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirandes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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