Malaga 3-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Dec 2024

Malaga
3-0 HT 2-0
Eldense
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.16
No
67%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.08
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.69
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.48
X/2
15%
6.74
X/X
14%
3.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.77
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.6pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Eldense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.30/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.16
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.6 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Malaga vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eldense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İSPK

Malaga 3-0 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
3-0
AWAY Eldense
2.30 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
421 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga swept aside Eldense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Malaga made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Malaga had 62% of the ball to Eldense's 38%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.30 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Eldense?

Malaga 3-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malaga 40%, draw 29%, Eldense 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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