Mirandes 1-3 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
6%
5.96
X/X
16%
3.61
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.75
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.27/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.11
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.0 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-0 HT 3-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
12.03.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-4 HT 1-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
13.08.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.02.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.08.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
04.04.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-3
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.84 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
262 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon saw off Mirandes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mirandes at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirandes had 40% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.84 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mirandes.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mirandes and 2.17 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Mirandes 1-3 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 44%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirandes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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