Villarreal II vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal II v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal II vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-0
Villarreal II
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Villarreal II
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
Villarreal II 2-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal II nicked a narrow win over Burgos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Villarreal II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Villarreal II had 42% of the ball to Burgos's 58%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.61 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Villarreal II and 1.33 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Burgos?
Villarreal II 2-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 33%, draw 33%, Burgos 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.