Tenerife 2-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.89
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.7
X/2
10%
6.08
X/X
18%
3.41
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.05
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.7pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
-21% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.9 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Eibar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.52 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Eibar Eibar 3-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
04.03.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
13.08.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.05.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
15.12.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İSPK
19.10.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-1
AWAY Eibar
0.74 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
277 Passes 405
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife squeezed past Eibar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Tenerife found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 43% of the ball to Eibar's 57%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.74 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tenerife and 1.83 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Eibar?

Tenerife 2-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 40%, draw 32%, Eibar 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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