Espanyol 2-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
8%
8.88
X/X
10%
4.26
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.43
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.56
+0% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.4 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Albacete
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.32 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
358 Passes 228
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
04.04.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-3 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
12.09.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 3-0 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.02.2005 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS1
03.10.2004 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
11.04.2004 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Albacete
0.71 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
395 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Albacete 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Espanyol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Espanyol had 53% of the ball to Albacete's 47%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.71 to 1.25 — on chances, Albacete could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Espanyol and 0.67 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Albacete?

Espanyol 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 50%, draw 24%, Albacete 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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