Cartagena 0-2 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Apr 2024

Cartagena
0-2 HT 0-2
Valladolid
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Cartagena vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
6.17
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
13%
6.11
X/2
13%
4.52
X/X
18%
3.41
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.44
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cartagena v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.28/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.8 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cartagena vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Valladolid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 2.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 363
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
18.02.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 2-3 HT 1-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
27.11.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 2-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
28.04.2012 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
26.11.2011 Cartagena Cartagena 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
23.04.2011 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2

Cartagena 0-2 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-2
AWAY Valladolid
1.13 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
422 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid saw off Cartagena 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Valladolid made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 61% of the ball to Valladolid's 39%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cartagena.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cartagena and 1.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Valladolid?

Cartagena 0-2 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 29%, draw 31%, Valladolid 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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