Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

Gimnasia La Plata
0-3 HT 0-1
River Plate
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.22/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.03
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
200 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.0 Crosses 20.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0W-1D-5L
AWAY River Plate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.77 xG 1.93
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 481
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.03.2024 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
14.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
22.07.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
14.03.2022 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ

Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 River Plate — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-3
AWAY River Plate
0.33 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
257 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate swept aside Gimnasia La Plata 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 44% of the ball to River Plate's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.33 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 2.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 25%, draw 30%, River Plate 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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