Manly United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

Manly United
1-2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+10.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
31%
Away Win
46%
-15.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manly United v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.57/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
+21% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.6 Crosses 20.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
345 Passes 240
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.06.2024 Manly United Manly United 1-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
22.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 4-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
28.05.2022 Manly United Manly United 4-1 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
11.03.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
11.06.2021 Manly United Manly United 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Manly United 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day APIA Leichhardt Tigers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manly United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manly United and 1.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Manly United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manly United 40%, draw 29%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manly United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manly United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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