Patro Eisden 1-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.82/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.97
+49% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.0 Crosses 11.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-1D-2L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
3.41 xG 0.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
153 Passes 416
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-4 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
07.10.2015 AS Eupen AS Eupen 6-0 HT 3-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
13.03.2015 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 0-2 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
18.10.2014 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
1-0
AWAY AS Eupen
0.67 xG 0.72
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
161 Passes 449
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden squeezed past AS Eupen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 32% of the ball to AS Eupen's 68%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AS Eupen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Patro Eisden and 2.25 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen?

Patro Eisden 1-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 50%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ BTTS No
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