KRC Genk II 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.59/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.42
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.3 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.86 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
16.02.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
28.10.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-2 HT 2-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
14.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-3
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.76 xG 0.90
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
540 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen beat KRC Genk II 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Lierse Kempenzonen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 65% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 35%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.76 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KRC Genk II and 2.60 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

KRC Genk II 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 35%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5
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