FC Minsk 1-0 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.29/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.53
+16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gomel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
28.04.2024 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.09.2023 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
06.05.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
12.11.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-0
AWAY Gomel
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk nicked a narrow win over Gomel 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Minsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Minsk had 37% of the ball to Gomel's 63%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Minsk and 1.33 for Gomel.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Gomel?

FC Minsk 1-0 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 36%, draw 29%, Gomel 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
18 Apr 2025
17:30 Slutsk vs Slavia Mozyr Analysis →