Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro swept aside Bahia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 39% of the ball to Bahia's 61%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.35 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.50 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 42%, draw 27%, Bahia 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.