Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia ran out comfortable winners over Cruzeiro 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bahia had 64% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.72 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 1.17 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bahia 42%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.