Fluminense vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BRK
4-1
HT 2-0
Flamengo
BRC1
2-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BRC1
Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo squeezed past Fluminense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Fluminense had 54% of the ball to Flamengo's 46%, shots finished 2-14, expected goals 0.26 to 2.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fluminense and 1.00 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Flamengo?
Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 28%, draw 24%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.