USM Khenchela 2-2 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.32/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Paradou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2024 Paradou Paradou 4-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
14.06.2024 Paradou Paradou 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
26.01.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 1-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
01.04.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 3-0 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
02.10.2022 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
2-2
AWAY Paradou
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela and Paradou shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was USM Khenchela at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 54% of the ball to Paradou's 46%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paradou led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.60 for Paradou.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

USM Khenchela 2-2 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 41%, draw 30%, Paradou 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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