Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.2
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
18%
5.13
6+
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.49
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
5.76
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
19%
3.67
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
3.92
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
0.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.90
-51% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Orleans
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Orleans Orleans 3-1 HT 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
01.04.2023 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
07.11.2022 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans squeezed past Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Orleans found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 1.00 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Orleans?

Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 36%, draw 31%, Orleans 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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