Quevilly 2-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Apr 2025

Quevilly
2-1 HT 2-0
Rouen
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Quevilly vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.37
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 42% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
4.51
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
6.23
X/2
10%
5.72
X/X
22%
3.55
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.93
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.1pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quevilly v Rouen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
0.68/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.00
-41% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Quevilly vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rouen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Rouen Rouen 2-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly squeezed past Rouen 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Quevilly made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Rouen?

Quevilly 2-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 32%, draw 34%, Rouen 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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