Chateauroux 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.22
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
11%
5.7
X/2
12%
5.37
X/X
19%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.84
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.31/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.27
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
436 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Sochaux
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
439 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
22.03.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 0-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
11.10.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.03.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.11.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
03.12.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Chateauroux made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chateauroux had 52% of the ball to Sochaux's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chateauroux and 0.83 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Sochaux?

Chateauroux 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 34%, draw 29%, Sochaux 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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