Nancy 2-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.94
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
7%
12.1
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
11.05
2/X
5%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.56/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aubagne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
14.01.2025 Aubagne Aubagne 2-1 HT 2-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
06.12.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 4-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
2-0
AWAY Aubagne
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy got the better of Aubagne 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Nancy had 51% of the ball to Aubagne's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aubagne led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nancy and 3.00 for Aubagne.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Aubagne?

Nancy 2-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nancy 54%, draw 25%, Aubagne 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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