Aston Villa U21 2-2 Liverpool U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.4pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.99
+114% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Liverpool U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.26 xG 0.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 471
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
2-2
AWAY Liverpool U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Liverpool U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 and Liverpool U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 54% of the ball to Liverpool U21's 46%, shots finished 20-18.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Aston Villa U21 2-2 Liverpool U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 26%, draw 30%, Liverpool U21 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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