Middlesbrough U21 2-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
34%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-21.0pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.13 xG 1.59
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
436 Passes 144
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
26.01.2024 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 0-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
2-1
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
339 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
6 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 edged past West Bromwich Albion U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich Albion U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 55% of the ball to West Bromwich Albion U21's 45%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Middlesbrough U21 2-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich Albion U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 35%, draw 18%, West Bromwich Albion U21 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich Albion U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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