UTA Arad 1-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.42
+6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
17.5 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepsi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
19.10.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
27.01.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
04.09.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-4 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
07.08.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-1
AWAY Sepsi
1.47 xG 1.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
282 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and Sepsi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, UTA Arad had 50% of the ball to Sepsi's 50%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.47 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UTA Arad and 1.50 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Sepsi?

UTA Arad 1-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 39%, draw 28%, Sepsi 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UTA Arad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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