Danubio 1-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.18/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.14
-1% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.07.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.02.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
02.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.03.2023 Boston River Boston River 3-3 HT 2-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-2
AWAY Boston River
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River edged past Danubio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Danubio had 38% of the ball to Boston River's 62%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Danubio and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Boston River?

Danubio 1-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Danubio 35%, draw 30%, Boston River 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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