Miramar Misiones 1-3 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.7pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 71%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.94
+29% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.60
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-1 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
20.07.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
17.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.05.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.12.2013 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-4 HT 1-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-3
AWAY Nacional de Football
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football saw off Miramar Misiones 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 42% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 58%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Miramar Misiones and 3.60 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football?

Miramar Misiones 1-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 21%, draw 27%, Nacional de Football 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
18 Apr 2025
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