Nacional de Football 5-1 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.06/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/2.27
+20% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
17.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.05.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.12.2013 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-4 HT 1-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
5-1
AWAY Miramar Misiones
73% Ball Possession 27%
18 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football cruised past Miramar Misiones 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 73% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 27%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Nacional de Football 5-1 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 56%, draw 24%, Miramar Misiones 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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