Salisbury 2-1 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 34% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.37/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.90
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Horsham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.08.2025 Horsham Horsham 1-1 HT 0-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past Horsham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salisbury as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Horsham?

Salisbury 2-1 Horsham in the England - Conference on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 43%, draw 30%, Horsham 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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