Torquay United 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.98/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.52
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
26.04.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
21.12.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
16.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 3-2 HT 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
23.09.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
24.01.2015 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-2
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Torquay United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torquay United had 63% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 37%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torquay United and 1.33 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Torquay United 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 52%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead Town 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
18 Apr 2026
17:00 Oxford City vs Chester Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Totton Analysis →
17:00 Chesham United vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
17:00 Salisbury vs Horsham Analysis →
17:00 Maidenhead United vs Dover Athletic Analysis →