Chesham United 0-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.22
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 2-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
01.02.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
21.01.2025 Chesham United Chesham United 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
0-2
AWAY Chelmsford City
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City beat Chesham United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesham United had 54% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chesham United and 1.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

Chesham United 0-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 36%, draw 28%, Chelmsford City 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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