Ross County 2-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 18 Apr 2026

Ross County
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Ayr United
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
26%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.35
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
16%
4.5
6+
3%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.95
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
20%
3.92
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
14%
5.68
2/X
5%
14.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ross County v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ross County The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
Average Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 64%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards –

Ross County vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
21.02.2026 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
08.11.2025 Ross County Ross County 3-3 HT 2-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
13.09.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
18.01.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKK
19.04.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 1-3 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
26.02.2019 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
REVIEW Ross County vs Ayr United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ross County came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Ayr United 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ross County as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ross County and 1.33 for Ayr United.

Ross County vs Ayr United Result & Final Score

Ross County 2 - 1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ross County vs Ayr United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ross County 45%, draw 29%, Ayr United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
18 Apr 2026
17:00 Greenock Morton vs Queens Park Analysis →
17:00 Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Airdrie Utd vs Partick Thistle Analysis →