Sestao River 2-2 Basconia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Basconia EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.38
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Basconia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Basconia 3-1 HT 2-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
2-2
AWAY Basconia
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Basconia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Basconia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestao River had 56% of the ball to Basconia's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Basconia?

Sestao River 2-2 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Basconia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 46%, draw 30%, Basconia 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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