Basconia vs Sestao River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basconia v Sestao River — Team-Based Signals
Basconia 3-1 Sestao River — Actual Match Statistics
Basconia saw off Sestao River 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Basconia had 51% of the ball to Sestao River's 49%, shots finished 12-17.
What was the final score of Basconia vs Sestao River?
Basconia 3-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basconia vs Sestao River?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Basconia 23%, draw 27%, Sestao River 50%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.