Ascoli 1-0 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
2.23/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.58
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2025 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-0
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli nicked a narrow win over Nuova Monterosi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 58% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 42%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Nuova Monterosi?

Ascoli 1-0 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 64%, draw 23%, Nuova Monterosi 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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