18/04/2026
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Sambenedettese vs Pontedera Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
29%
Draw
25%
24%
Away Win
19%
59%
Under 2.5
57%
41%
Over 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sambenedettese v Pontedera — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sambenedettese
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pontedera
EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
-1%
1.57/1.08
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.07/1.32
+0%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+13%
/
+3%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
316 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
Sambenedettese vs Pontedera Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sambenedettese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Pontedera
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Sambenedettese 2-1 Pontedera — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Sambenedettese
2-1
AWAY
Pontedera
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
FAQ
Sambenedettese vs Pontedera
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Sambenedettese edged past Pontedera 2-1 in the Italy - Serie C on 18 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sambenedettese had 58% of the ball to Pontedera's 42%, shots finished 14-11.
What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Pontedera?
Sambenedettese 2-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sambenedettese vs Pontedera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sambenedettese 47%, draw 29%, Pontedera 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sambenedettese) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sambenedettese)
✗ Under 2.5
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İTC
More Italy - Serie C
18 Apr 2026