Pineto vs Arezzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pineto v Arezzo — Team-Based Signals
Pineto vs Arezzo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Pineto
İTC
Pineto 1-4 Arezzo — Actual Match Statistics
Arezzo swept aside Pineto 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pineto had 34% of the ball to Arezzo's 66%, shots finished 4-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pineto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Pineto and 1.80 for Arezzo.
What was the final score of Pineto vs Arezzo?
Pineto 1-4 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pineto vs Arezzo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pineto 16%, draw 23%, Arezzo 61%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.