Toronto FC 3-3 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Apr 2026

Toronto FC
3 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Austin
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

Toronto FC vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.03
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.59
6+
5%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.95
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
11%
6.92
X/X
17%
4.4
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.08
2/X
5%
13.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Toronto FC v Austin — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toronto FC The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Toronto FC vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Austin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 2.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
291 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Austin Austin ABD
21.05.2023 Austin Austin 1-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD

Toronto FC 3-3 Austin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
3 - 3
AWAY Austin
3.05 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
313 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Toronto FC vs Austin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Toronto FC and Austin with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Toronto FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Toronto FC had 46% of the ball to Austin's 54%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.05 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toronto FC and 1.00 for Austin.

Toronto FC vs Austin Result & Final Score

Toronto FC 3 - 3 Austin in the USA - Major League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toronto FC vs Austin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 44%, draw 28%, Austin 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toronto FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
18 Apr 2026
05:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
21:30 CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
23:30 Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami Analysis →